Tuesday, March 25, 2008

fun times

so, since my last post...

Recent transactions:
03/17/2008 Buy To Open 1 CLZ15 Crude Oil DEC 2015 100.30
03/17/2008 Buy To Open 1 NGZ11 Natural Gas DEC 2011 9.410
03/20/2008 Sell To Close 1 NGZ11 Natural Gas DEC 2011 8.760


Notice that I bought a contract, and turned around and sold it 3 days later for a hefty loss (about $6500). But I'm getting ahead of myself - here's the real story:

SO I've been investing in this new thing called futures (see previous post) - and, holy shit - I'm making money hand over fist. Made like $65k or something crazy. right away too, within weeks.

Then, I decide to press my luck (see transactions above). Then everything comes crashing down, and all of the sudden I've lost all of my winnings and I'm nearing a margin call (ie. I have to put up more $$ or they'll force me to close out a position (or two). So I sell one - the one I just bought a few days ago.

Turns out the past few weeks has been a roller coaster by any measure. I was reading about all the unprecedented rise and then more about his unprecedented fall in oil and natural gas and what-not. panic buying and selling is what they called it.

Needless to say, last week was quite a welcome into the futures trading market. It was fun going up, not so fun going down. Thankfully I didn't lose my shirt.

I know at this point that I'm too heavily leveraged, but I can't seem to get myself to close out some positions to reduce my risk. Here is what the current holdings are:

Symbol Description Qty Cost Basis Price Change Gain/Loss $
CLZ15CRUDE OIL DEC 2015 CRUDE OIL DEC 2015 3 99.85 97.74 0 -6,330.00
CLZ16CRUDE OIL DEC 2016 CRUDE OIL DEC 2016 2 92.12 98.2 0.27 12,160.00
ECM9EURO FX JUN 2009 EURO FX JUN 2009 1 1.5275 1.5259 0 -200
NGM13NATURAL GAS JUN 2013 NATURAL GAS JUN 2013 1 7.889 8.596 0 7,070.00
NGZ13NATURAL GAS DEC 2013 NATURAL GAS DEC 2013 2 8.935 8.941 0 130
SPU9S&P 500 INDEX SEP 2009 S&P 500 INDEX SEP 2009 -1 1325.2 1354.4 0 -7,300.00

what do you say - roll the dice and keep these holdings? Or play it safe and cash out a bunch of these?

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